Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.382365 0.418418 0.456909 0.501150 0.550711 0.604645 0.667951
2025-11-16 0.325440 0.376294 0.434361 0.505973 0.592462 0.694238 0.824090
2025-11-23 0.288169 0.345467 0.413875 0.502360 0.614941 0.754964 0.944773
2025-11-30 0.263999 0.325759 0.402186 0.504971 0.641522 0.819489 1.073663
2025-12-07 0.241333 0.304885 0.385878 0.498389 0.653405 0.863676 1.177937
2025-12-14 0.222888 0.287386 0.371719 0.492259 0.663811 0.905057 1.280923
2025-12-21 0.203744 0.267210 0.351995 0.476138 0.657782 0.921301 1.347095
2025-12-28 0.195227 0.260622 0.349972 0.484175 0.686427 0.989863 1.500054
2026-01-04 0.187044 0.253764 0.346818 0.489909 0.711571 1.054809 1.654246
2026-01-11 0.178908 0.246321 0.342125 0.492667 0.731909 1.113524 1.804467
2026-01-18 0.171293 0.239067 0.337084 0.494253 0.750126 1.169970 1.957053
2026-01-25 0.164693 0.232846 0.333064 0.496917 0.769968 1.230531 2.124141
2026-02-01 0.155210 0.221888 0.321354 0.486743 0.768025 1.254147 2.226677
2026-02-08 0.149953 0.217052 0.318770 0.491155 0.791209 1.324437 2.429790
2026-02-15 0.143353 0.209743 0.311805 0.487674 0.800108 1.369261 2.587360
2026-02-22 0.138587 0.205012 0.308601 0.490192 0.819696 1.435710 2.799407
2026-03-01 0.132346 0.197604 0.300614 0.483844 0.822406 1.469670 2.945400
2026-03-08 0.126649 0.190779 0.293190 0.477930 0.825320 1.504096 3.097199
2026-03-15 0.119497 0.181263 0.280805 0.462375 0.808605 1.497021 3.151056
2026-03-22 0.117156 0.179511 0.281346 0.470131 0.837561 1.587202 3.452381
2026-03-29 0.114544 0.177170 0.280729 0.475663 0.862501 1.671436 3.753374
2026-04-05 0.111585 0.174101 0.278672 0.478324 0.881781 1.745298 4.040485
2026-04-12 0.108608 0.170857 0.276126 0.479854 0.898786 1.815805 4.331229